A former student and CABS researcher, Seth Flaxman (Class of 2004), is lead author from Imperial College on predictions of COVID-19 in the coming weeks in 11 European countries. Check out their report, and see what a technical, scientific paper on this type of problem looks like. He made the code available, which is on GitHub, as well, if you want to see what this looks like for a complex system to model. Within the next week, most of the growth charts should start to turn over and begin the flattening of the curve...hopefully Europe is moving past the inflection point. Note that they do show the range of uncertainties, as all good studies should, because of limitations in data and testing, statistical effects and fluctuations it creates in the modeling, and so on. I have not found a similar, up to date report for the US yet. This is the type of research one can do with a good background and expertise in computer programming.
Thanks, Seth!! Seth did some really cool CABS research on periodic heat flow while in high school, and actually went to London to represent the US through the JSHS contest (which he won at regionals, and then did well at nationals to advance as one of six US students to the International fair). He built the experiment in his bedroom, and also modeled the heat flow using a free version of FlexPDE.
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